Projected data for Finland's future climate on the Paituli service
The mean temperature and precipitation of Finland's future climate and their changes have been calculated up to 2085 using SSP scenarios.
Due to climate change, the temperatures in Finland will rise, precipitation will increase, snow cover season will become shorter, and the amount of soil frost will decrease. Also, the sea level in the Baltic Sea will rise and the winter ice cover will reduce. Projections indicate that Finland’s climate would change more in winter than in summer.
In future, the average temperature in Finland will rise more [1] and faster than the global average [2]. In addition to warming, precipitation is estimated to increase. The changes will affect winters more than summers [3], [4]. The following changes are expected to occur in Finland’s climate:
Temperature will rise
Precipitation will increase
Snow cover and soil frost will reduce
Cloud cover will increase and sunshine will decrease
Sea level in the Baltic Sea will rise and the winter ice cover will reduce
The most recent projections on Finland’s future climate are based on climate simulations performed with 28 global climate models. Results are presented for several greenhouse gas scenarios. [1], [3] The intensity of the changes in the Finland’s climate and which scenario will occur, depends on the amount of the global greenhouse gas emissions.
The most recent greenhouse gas scenarios are called RCP-scenarios (representative concentration pathways):
Climate change projections provide an estimate on how much temperature, precipitation, or other climate variables will change in comparison with the reference period i.e. the average for 1981–2000. Projections extend to around the year 2100. [1], [3] The new model results and scenarios indicate that Finland’s summers will get warmer than previously estimated, but projections for precipitation have not changed much [3].
The mean temperature and precipitation of Finland's future climate and their changes have been calculated up to 2085 using SSP scenarios.